Handicapping The Grammys: Predictions 2009
Fasten your seat belts, kids. It's Grammy time.
Whether you love the Grammys or hate them, one thing's for sure. You can't beat the entertainment they've got lined up this year. Were talking McCartney, U2, Coldplay, and Radiohead, for starters. So even if the choices of the historically stodgy Academy make you want to throw things at your TV, at least you know you're going to get some quality music.
But the Grammys don't exactly have a very good track record when it comes to making forward-looking choices. Eventually they'll generally get it right, handing out awards to the people who deserve them, but it's usually years after the fact. Just ask Dylan or the Rolling Stones.
Frustratingly, the Academy will more often get it wrong, though, and sometimes wildly so. Past honorees for Best New Artist, for example, include such one-hit wonders as the Starland Vocal Band (remember "Afternoon Delight"?) and the most famous lip-synching group of all time, Milli Vanilli. Also, the first year that the Academy decided to honor heavy metal in a category, they awarded those mosh-pit favorites Jethro Tull over Metallica.
Still, the beat goes on at the Grammys. What follows is my own predictions for how I expect things to go down tonight. I base these on gut more than anything else, and the list should by no means be considered in any way scientific or something you'd want to bet the house and the kids on.
Record Of The Year
Chasing Pavements — Adele
Viva La Vida — Coldplay
Bleeding Love — Leona Lewis
Paper Planes — M.I.A
Please Read The Letter — Robert Plant & Alison Krauss
SHOULD WIN: Coldplay
WILL WIN: Coldplay
It should be a big night for Coldplay.
Album Of The Year
Viva La Vida — Coldplay
Tha Carter III — Lil Wayne
Year Of The Gentleman — Ne-Yo
Raising Sand — Robert Plant & Alison Krauss
In Rainbows — Radiohead
SHOULD WIN: Radiohead
WILL WIN: Plant/Krauss
Radiohead's album set a new standard for music distribution that turned the record industry on it's ear, but Plant and Krauss are a safer choice because Coldplay and Radiohead are going to split the rock vote, and Radiohead is just a bit too experimental to take home one of the big three. Besides, Grammy loves all that O' Brother Where Art Thou kind of shit, right? I'd call Coldplay a dark horse here, but I also wouldn't be betting on that Led Zeppelin reunion tour happening anytime soon after tonight.
grammys one hit wonders lip synching alison krauss raising sand leona lewis jethro tull lil wayne mosh pit quality music album of the year milli vanilli robert plant tha carter paper planes seat belts kids starland vocal band please read the letter afternoon delight pavements
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